A crowd gathers at
the World War Two Memorial to support
a rally centered around reopening
national memorials closed
by the government shutdown, supported by
military veterans, tea party activists and Republicans, on Oct. 13 in
Washington.
October was clearly a cruel month for both President Barack Obama and the Republicans, both of whom saw their images slump to new lows in Wall Street Journal/NBC News polling.
But hidden within the data is a more disturbing reality for the
Republican Party. Put simply, Democrats are largely content with their
own party, while distaste among Republicans for the GOP has grown
exponentially this year.
The most recent Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, offers a stark
window into widening divisions within the GOP over strategy and what
kind of leaders Republicans want going forward. The Democratic Party, by
comparison, is a picture of unity.
Here are a few glimpses at the very different paths the two parties are now on.
In December, just a month after the GOP experienced a string of
election losses, nearly two-thirds of all Republicans held a positive
view of their party. Ten months later that share has dropped to less
than half.
Among those who are more wavering in their ties to the GOP—a group
that is nearly twice the size of the party’s most fervent
followers—affection for the party in the latest poll dropped to 35%,
with almost an equal number saying they viewed the party in a negative
light. (See table at bottom of this post.)
By comparison, nearly three-quarters of all Democrats in the poll
said they have a positive view of their party, down just slightly since
the end of last year. Even the more wavering among the Democrats are
positive toward their party (61%).
The sharp divisions over political style with the GOP also have no corollary among Democrats.
A good example is Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, widely seen as a chief architect of the showdown that led to last month’s government shutdown.
In the poll, just 19% of non-tea party Republicans said they have a
positive view of Mr. Cruz, exactly in line with the rest of the country.
But a striking 69% of tea-party Republicans in the poll gave Mr. Cruz
positive marks.
A similar break can be seen over the question of whether Republicans
want their party members in Congress to make compromises to gain a
consensus on budgetary matters, or stick to their positions even if this
means no budget agreement.
Just under half of all Republicans favored compromise. But among
tea-party Republicans, a solid 64% said Republicans in Congress should
stick to their positions no matter what. Just a third of non-tea party
Republicans took that stauncher position.
When the same question was asked of Democrats, a solid 68% favored
compromise, with little variation among liberals and more wavering
Democrats.
The overall sourness of public sentiment toward the political status
quo has triggered another round of yearning for a potential third party.
And again, that desire appears strongest on the right.
Asked if they would be more likely to vote for an independent or
third-party candidate for Congress if one existed in their district,
just 19% of Democrats said they would.
But among all Republicans, that number was 28%. And among wavering
Republicans—who constituted nearly a quarter of the poll’s registered
voters—the desire to vote for a third-party candidate was a startling
41%. Do you have a positive or negative view of your own party?
Democrats: 73% positive, 7% negative
Republicans: 49% positive, 26% negative
Tea-party Republicans: 56% positive, 21% negative
Non tea party Republicans: 41% positive, 32% negative And another chart:
No comments:
Post a Comment